Page 83 - Mathematics Class - X
P. 83

ACTIVITY 7.2






        OBJECTIVE
        To determine experimental probability of a head (or a tail) by tossing a coin 1000 times and compare it with its
        theoretical probability.


        MATERIALS REQUIRED

              A fair coin                          Pen                                 Sheets of white paper

        PRE-REQUISITE KNOWLEDGE
          1.  Outcomes of an experiment

          2.  Knowledge of favourable outcome
          3.  Concept of probability


        THEORY
                                                                     Number of favourable outcomes
          1.  Probability of getting a head or a tail on tossing a coin  =
                                                                        Totalnumber of outcomes


          2.  On tossing a coin, there are two possible outcome, i.e. head and tail, so total number of outcomes is 2. On
              tossing a coin, the chance of coming head or tail is 1, i.e. the number of favourable outcomes for head or tail
              is 1 because either head will come or tail.

                                                                              1
              ∴        Probability of getting a head or a tail on tossing a coin =
                                                                              2


        PROCEDURE
          1.  Divide the students of the class in 10 groups I, II, III, ..., X.

          2.  Now each group will toss a coin 100 times and will observe the occurrence of a head.

          3.  Count the total number of times (frequency) a head comes up in each group and denote these by a , a , ...,
                                                                                                                2
                                                                                                             1
              a , respectively.
               10
                                                                              a    a       a
          4.  Calculate the experimental probability of a head in each group as   1  ,  2  , ....,  10  .
                                                                             100 100       100
          5.  Calculate the experimental probabilities of a head based on the data of 1st group, 1st two groups, ..., all ten

                         a   a +  a   a +  a +  a     a +  a +  .... a+
              groups as   1  ,  1  2  ,  1  2  3  ,.....,  1  2     10  ,  respectively.
                        100    200       300               1000
                                a    a +  a  a +  a +  a     a +  a +  .... a+                                1
          6.  The probabilities   1  ,  1  2  ,  1  2  3  ,.....,  1  2    10  ,  are coming closer and closer to  .
                               100    200       300               1000                                        2






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